Bank of Israel Cuts Policy Rate by 25bp to 4.00% in Surprise Decision
The building of the Bank of Israel in Jerusalem, אורי פרקש (Ori Farkash) commons.wikimedia.

The Bank of Israel reduced its benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.00% on 5 January 2026, a move most economists had not expected. The decision was the second consecutive reduction in the policy rate.

The latest move came against a backdrop of easing price pressures, with consumer prices in November 2025 declining 0.5% on a monthly basis and the annual inflation rate falling to 2.4%, placing it within the Bank of Israel's target range of 1 to 3 per cent.

INFLATION AND RATE FORECAST

At 4.00%, the policy rate remains above annual inflation of 2.4%. The Bank of Israel's Research Department forecast that the policy rate would fall to 3.5% by the end of 2026, assuming a stable geopolitical environment and a sound fiscal situation.

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